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O/NSO: Arizona State edition

The Obvious from Los Angeles: A number of Sears locations may be going out of business, but USC Trojans’ inexperienced, third-string redshirt freshman quarterback Jack Sears may be going into the starting quarterback business due to injuries to starter JT Daniels (concussion) and backup Matt Fink (broken ribs). Unless there’s a sudden change in Daniels’ concussion protocol condition by Friday, Clay Helton will turn to Sears to lead the Trojans against Pac-12 South Division rival Arizona State on Saturday afternoon (12:30 p.m. PDT) at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

The Not So Obvious: The Trojans (4-3 overall, 3-2 Pac-12 South), hoping to rebound from last Saturday’s disastrous Utah weekend, will probably ask Sears, the former San Clemente (Calif.) High superstar quarterback, to engineer an already wobbly offense. The question now becomes: Can inexperienced, third-stringer Sears rise to the occasion and play well enough to bring home a critical conference victory over Arizona State (3-4 overall, 1-3 Pac-12 South)? Hoping to keep pace with Utah, which now holds the Pac-12 South Division tiebreaker over the Trojans, comes a secondary question: What happens if Jack Sears gets hurt? That answer is probably walk-on sophomore quarterback Holden Thomas (Brentwood High. Los Angeles) and if needed, junior transfer walk-on Brandon Perdue (New Mexico Military Institute/Oaks Christian HS, Westlake, Calif.). So, there’s a lot of potential game scenarios that could come into play against a very determined and improved ASU team whose record doesn’t reflect the fact that the Sun Devils’ three conference losses have been by a touchdown to Washington (27-20), Colorado (28-21), and Stanford (20-13). Even if JT Daniels plays, well, you get the picture? Tough gig.

The Obvious: The Trojans opened a 6 ½ -point favorite over ASU.

The Not So Obvious: The Men of Troy are riding a 19-0 Coliseum victory streak while ASU has lost their last 4 of 5 games. Trojans hold a 21-12 edge in its series with Arizona State (not including Troy’s 2005 road victory later vacated due to NCAA penalty; original record 22-12). Troy has won the past three games but dropped the previous 3 of 4 after having won the prior 10 games (not including Troy’s 2005 road victory later vacated due to NCAA penalty; original record 11), the longest win streak in the series.

The Obvious: Saturday’s game will be televised on ABC/ESPN2 (12:30 p.m. PDT).

The Not So Obvious: The ABC/ESPN2 broadcasters will be Adam Amin (play-by-play), Rod Gilmore ­­­­­­­­­­­­­­(analyst) and Quint Kessenich (sidelines).

The Obvious: Saturday’s Trojans’ radio broadcast from the Coliseum will air live on ESPNLA 710 AM (12:30 p.m. PDT) with Pete Arbogast (play by play), John Jackson (analyst) and Jordan Moore (sideline).

The Trojans radio game broadcast will be preceded by a four-hour pregame show beginning at 8:30 a.m. (PDT) and featuring Arbogast, Jackson, Moore, Shaun Cody, Andy Kamenetsky, Chris Hale, Nick Alfano, and WeAreSC publisher Garry Paskwietz. Following the game, there’ll be a two-hour post-game show.

The Not So Obvious: The ASU broadcast can be heard on Phoenix flagship station ESPN 620 AM with Tim Healey (play-by-play), Jeff Van Raaphorst (analysts) and Jordan Simone (sidelines).

Saturday’s game will also air on Sirius XM satellite radio (online channels 146/197 or online channel 959 and on the Tuneln Radio app.

The Obvious: Saturday’s Los Angeles weather forecast calls for partly cloudy with a high of 85 degrees, a low of 63 degrees, 41percent humidity, and 0 percent precipitation. Kickoff temp is expected to be sunny and 83 degrees.

The Not So Obvious: The real weather report is whether the Trojans can bounce back from their dominated loss to Utah, which was a real reality check for Clay Helton and his team. No doubt, the ASU game will confirm a lot about this team in regard to goals, motivation, and the ability to compete. We’ll see whether Helton’s team feels the sense of urgency that their coach most definitely must be feeling. A loss to the Sun Devils, and you can almost kiss the South Division title hopes goodbye. If that scenario comes true, Helton’s future as the Trojans coach will come under greater scrutiny if not intense pressure. We’ll see whether that type of unwanted pressure on Saturday affects the coach, his staff, and the players.

Offensively, the intriguing aspect of Jack Sears, a true dual-threat quarterback, starting is that many believe that Jack plays his best when the bright lights are on during an actual game. We’ll see whether this standout athlete can combine his legs and his arm to be effective. No doubt with a highly inexperienced redshirt freshman quarterback like Sears, the ASU defensive front will attack a Trojans’ offensive line that has been deservedly the subject of scrutiny and criticism. And if Sears is the starter, we’ll see whether the Trojans offensive coaching staff plays its playbook close to the vest.

At this point, we’ll find out whether the Trojans can amount even the semblance of a running attack. When it comes to passing the ball, we’ll see whether the Trojans’ coaches decide to pass the ball to the tight ends and do it down the middle. The one consistent offensive performer is junior wide receiver Michael Pittman, who is playing like he wants NFL scouts to remember his name. And don’t forget about sophomore receiver Tyler Vaughns (photo above) who is due for a big game. The Trojans’ offense, however, will have to be aware of Sun Devils defenders like senior safety Jalen Harvey (56 tac, 2.5 for loss, 1 d in 2018) and freshman linebacker Merlin Robertson (46 tac, 6 for loss, 4 sack, 2 d, 1 FR, 1 FF in 2018). It will not be easy to sustain long drives or big plays against the ASU defense.

Defensively, we’ll see whether the Trojans’ defense can defend the run, something that was lacking when it counted against Utah. Unfortunately, Trojans’ starting senior inside linebacker Cameron Smith is out (knee), which means that true freshman Palaie Gaoteote gets the starting nod. The biggest Trojans’ fear is that veteran ASU quarterback Manny Wilkins can do a lot of things that Utah’s Tyler Hundley can do, which is run and pass. We’ll find out whether the Trojans learned anything this practice week in defending a dual-threat quarterback like Wilkins. The Sun Devils also have a developing running back in sophomore star Eno Benjamin (137 tcb, 753 yds, 5.5 avg, 7 TD in 2018, plus 28 rec, 199 yds, 7.1 avg, 2 TD), who set a school game rushing record this year with 312 yards versus Oregon State and is 13th nationally in rushing (107.6, second in Pac-12) and 17th in all-purpose running (136.0, fourth in Pac- 12).

Then there’s the Trojans pass defense, which looked very shaky against Utah. Outside of senior safety Marvel Tell lll and senior DB Iman Marshall, the Trojans have some weaknesses due to depth issues. The Trojans’ inconsistent secondary will be tested by star ASU receiver junior receiver N’Keal Harry (42 rec, 572 yds, 13.6 avg, 5 TD in 2018, plus 4 tcb, 6 yds, 1.5 avg, 1 TD and 3 PR, 54 yds, 18.0 avg), a 2017 All-Pac-12 first teamer who has caught a pass in all 32 of his career games at ASU. Harry is in ASU’s career Top 10 in receptions (fourth with 182), receiving yards (eighth with 2,373) and receiving TDs (ninth with 18).

On Trojans’ special teams, we’ll see whether Trojans’ placekicker Michael Brown rebound himself after missing a critical first half field last week at Utah. On the other hand, ASU has a real weapon in sophomore PK Brandon Ruiz (24-of-24 PAT, 8-of-9 FG in 2018) who is 12th nationally in field goal percentage (.889, second in Pac-12).

The Obvious: The Trojans’ offense is averaging 26.0 points per game while the ASU defense is allowing 21.0 points per outing.

The Not So Obvious: The Trojans’ defense is allowing 27.43 points per game while the ASU offense is averaging 27.43 points per game.

The Obvious: Herm Edwards is in his first season as the ASU head coach.

The Not So Obvious: Those who laughed and shook their heads over the selection of Edwards aren’t doing much laughing right now. Edwards has schtick, but he also connects with his young players who buy into his enthusiasm and NFL approach to games. The Trojans can expect to see a highly focused Sun Devils team on Saturday.

The Obvious: The Trojans will probably start redshirt freshman QB Jack Sears, a former San Clemente (Calif.) High star who led his team to a CIF title.

The Not So Obvious: The ASU quarterback is senior veteran Manny Wilkins (146-of-231, 63.2%, 1,799 yds, 11 TD, 2 int in 2018, plus 52 tcb, 198 yds, 3.8 avg, 3 TD). Wilkins is capable of being a true dual-threat quarterback, and Trojan fans saw what Utah’s Tyler Hundley did to Clancy Pendergast’s Trojans defense.

The Obvious: ASU has a new defensive coordinator, Danny Gonzalez, who spent the last several seasons at San Diego State as the Aztecs DC under head coach Rocky Long.

The Not So Obvious: Asked about the 2018 ASU defense and how different it is from last season, Trojans’ offensive coordinator Tee Martin said, “They’re a good defense that likes to bring multiple looks and pressures to get to the quarterback. They disrupt run blocking schemes, and they have different line games that they run. It’s going to be up to our offensive line to find them and get hats on hats to create some movement and create some running lanes. Secondary wise, both corners we played against them last year and they are guys that understand their scheme very well and do a good job of keeping things in front of them. This season is a different scheme. Last year they were more four downs and bust up field, and they had a really good pass rush with Whicker and those guys. The new guy is from San Diego State and runs Rocky Long’s pressure schemes, which means moving and slanting up front. It’s very similar to what we’ve seen from Texas and Washington State.”

The Obvious: The Trojans have five out-of-high school players from the state of Arizona (OT Austin Jackson from Phoenix’s North Canyon HS, DL Connor Murphy of Phoenix’s Brophy Prep, S Isaiah Pola-Mao of Phoenix’s Mountain Pointe HS, OT AJ Mageo of Mesa’s Red Mountain HS and WR Zach Wilson of Scottsdale’s Saguaro HS. TE Austin Applebee transferred to USC in 2017 from Arizona Western College in Yuma).

The Not So Obvious: ASU has 32 players from California.

The Obvious: Clay Helton says the team needs to get through October to get to November, the month he says will showcase a good Trojans football team.

The Not So Obvious: This will be the 18th time that the Trojans have played a game on Oct. 27, tying Sept. 29, Oct. 24 and Nov. 7 as the most popular days in Trojan regular season history. January 1 is the all-time leader, with 33 USC games on that day.

The Obvious: USC has an enrollment listed at 45,000 students.

The Not So Obvious: ASU has an enrollment listed at 51,164 students.

The Obvious: And finally, there will be the usual USC recognitions during the game and at halftime.

The Not So Obvious: Recognitions include a “Sneakers Drive” to combat the effects of homelessness; a “Pink Game” in conjunction with Breast Cancer Month; USC Athletics’ Community Outreach Program for winning the 2018 NACOA/Fiesta Bowl Community Service Award; and a pregame flyover featuring six vintage military aircraft.



Greg Katz
Author
Greg Katz

Now in his 58th season of either writing, broadcasting, or just plain watching USC football, WeAreSC columnist Greg Katz began his affiliation with the website back in 2001, introducing his well-received O/NSO (The Obvious/The Not So Obvious) column and later adding his respected IMHO Sunday opinion and tidbits column. Greg, a former ESPN.com college football staff writer covering USC, is also a member of the Football Writer's Association of America. He is also known in Southern California as a professional public address announcer, having called the the 1996 Rose Bowl Game between USC and Northwestern. Greg also holds a master's degree in athletic administration and was a former varsity high school coach of 27 years.


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