The Official Unofficial Game Prediction Thread - Week 4 - Colorado

Discussion in 'GarryP's Trojan Huddle' started by TrojanHorse, Nov 23, 2020.

  1. The Official Unofficial Game Prediction Thread - Week 4 - Colorado
    TrojanHorse

    TrojanHorse Junior Member


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    #1
    Another week of waiting around and hoping our game does not get cancelled begins. At least, for the first time this season, we will be able to study game film on our opponent so this may be the best chance so far to see what sort of team we have this season.

    For the fourth time this season, USC will be facing an “undefeated” south division team. Colorado has been playing very well so far and are 2-0.


    Post your best prediction of the final score for this game. We will announce winners after the game—assuming there is a game.

    To see last week’s winners, click here and scroll down:
    https://wearesc.com/forum/index.php?threads/the-official-unofficial-game-prediction-thread-week-3-utah.75282/page-4


    The Basic Rules of tabulation this week will be as follows:

    -We will track predicted scores (one guess per person) and come up with a winner by 'least cumulative variance.' That is, the real variance of each team's guess added together.
    -If two people have given the same score, then the first one that gave the score is the winner. Other than that, there could be co-champions. if two people have given different scores, but have the same cumulative variance.
    -Edits to posted scores will be allowed until game time.
    -If the least cumulative variance happens to pick the wrong winner, they will be awarded "Closest to the Pin,' but the overall winner must guess the winning team correctly.
    -A 'Most Wrong' Award will be given out for the guess with the largest cumulative variance.
    -No more guesses or changes after kickoff.


    Please Observe The Following Honorary Rules:
    -The Cardinal & Gold Rule - Whole numbers only. Fractional numbers will be rounded up.
    -The NorCalSurfer Rule – No ‘Negative’ score predictions
    -The BigGuard Modification - If someone has two guesses in the same post, for humor or other purposes, the second (last) pick is the one that will be used to make it consistent... so try to be clear.
    -The Trojan Eternity Clarification – If a contestant inadvertently (or otherwise) makes more than one pick, the last pick will be the one used for the purposes of the competition. Technically, this would be the “last” pick.
    - The Lizard King Rule – In order to qualify for the honorary title of most wrong, guesses must be at least somewhat within reason. Nothing over 70 points scored for instance is probably reasonable for either team this week.
    -The Lizard King Clarification – If a player picks a score over the above stated maximum, they will not be considered for the Coveted Title of Most Wrong for that week. Players will get one mulligan per season on this clarification rule.
    -The Globe Rule – If more than one player has the same net differential, but at least one has picked the correct team to win...then no “Closest To The Pin” Trophy will be awarded that week.
    -The Golden Trojan Rule – Picks must be posted in the correct weekly pick thread. Otherwise they will not be picked up and counted toward the contest.
    -The Beeto Clarification –If two or more people are declared co-winners as a result of having the same net differential, but a third (or more) person has a duplicate score, those later duplicate scores will be disregarded for purposes of the weekly competition only. They are still used for the YTD competition.

    A Season Long Champion will also be crowned:
    -each week we will calculate the 'average' net points for any participant that has picks in at least 2/3 of the available games.
    -We will include all games through the regular season in this format. However, once any playoffs or post season games begin, you MUST play those games in order to continue on to become the season champion. It's sort of like the Fed Ex Cup.
    - Last year the Season Long Prediction Czar was @Carlsport He was also our first multi-year winner.
    - This year in addition to year long bragging rights and the knowledge that you really are better than everyone else, Erik will also award a WeAreSC polo shirt to the winner.
    - It's a long season, don't give up. Have fun and thanks for playing


    Remember, this thread is about having fun, expressing our honest opinions on how we think the team will do THIS WEEK, and maybe even learning a little from each other. We are not going to always agree with everyone on our predictions--but this is not the place for calling people out or derogatory comments. Otherwise you may get virtually flagged for unsportsmanlike conduct.

    Give us your prediction and tell us why you think it will happen. On any given week we could be very right or very, very wrong. That's sort of the nature of sports though isn't it? You win some...you lose some. You pick your self up, dust yourself off, and tomorrow is a new day.

    Beat the Buffs!
     
       
  2. ICEnEC

    ICEnEC Points Member


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    #2
    SC 37 buffalo chips 20
     
  3. SC87

    SC87 Points Member


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    #3
    Our D played well last week which can mean only one thing. They will play poorly this week. We still beat the lowly Buffs though.

    SC 34
    Buffers 23
     
  4. Trojanfan1963

    Trojanfan1963 Points Member


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    #4
    SC 31
    Co 14
     
  5. Hockey10

    Hockey10 Junior Member


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    #5
    In Spot Lights.
    For the 4th time USC will be facing a undefeated team.
    1. ASU 0-0. Their first game of. the year. Needed an onside kick to win.
    2. Arizona 1-0. Horrible team we had to win in final minutes.
    3. Utah 0-0. First game of the year. Last team to play a game and played like it with tons of turnovers and penalties.
    4. Colorado 2-0. Again another fierce undefeated opponent.
    Pure comedy.
     
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  6. TrojanHorse

    TrojanHorse Junior Member


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    #6
    Actually, Arizona was 0-0 also.

    I thought it was obvious that it was meant to be humorous.
     
  7. Hockey10

    Hockey10 Junior Member


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    #7
    If so I guess my frustration has gotten the best of me. Thanks for pointing it out.
     
  8. billsb1970

    billsb1970 Junior Member


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    #8
    The Buffs have a quick athletic QB that usually presents problems for our defense. Their running back is playing lights out.
     
  9. SGVFlip

    SGVFlip Points Member


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    #9
    USC 45
    BUFFS 24

    Kedon gets going with accuracy, etc.....

    DLine sets the tone, not let The QB and RB go wild....
     
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  10. Cardinalblood

    Cardinalblood Junior Member


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    #10
    After watching Colorado highlights from both the ucla and the Stanford game it looks like the Buffs are the best team we are going to play so far. Their Oline is protecting their QB well and he is throwing accurately. Their running back Brussard is a very good cut back runner and can definitely hurt us based on our run defense not being very good. They still have good receivers. Their defense is suspect and will keep us in the game if we improve on offense and Kedon shakes off his sophomore slump. If USC does not continue its improvement on defense and has a setback in that department this game is going to be a struggle.
    My prediction from the heart is
    USC 34
    Colorado 27
    My prediction based on USC inconsistency is and stupid mistakes is.
    Colorado 38
    USC 28
     
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  11. cutlerdaddy

    cutlerdaddy Junior Member


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    #11
    SC - 35
    Buffs - 24

    Fight On!
     
  12. KiwiSCfan

    KiwiSCfan Points Member


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    Things finally click for the O this week...

    SC 48
    Buffs 21
     
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  13. OCBeachTrojan

    OCBeachTrojan Points Member


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    #13
    Trojans finally put it all together!!

    USC 42
    Buffs 21

    Fight On!!!
    Clueless will still WASTE all timeouts with his wonderful time management!!!
     
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  14. TrojanFireHorse12

    TrojanFireHorse12 Junior Member


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    #14
    I said USC would lose versus Utah and looking at the game, they could have, but they won. Now it wasn't all bad, but still very, very frustrating.

    The Buffs won't be push overs, they have experience and will try to exploit our subpar run defense, tackling, and Qb containment issues. They'll have success in this area if our defense can't stop them and if the offense continues to let down the defense, after being gifted scoring opportunities. This game could turn into another long, sluggish day.

    Maybe the team and its coaches will remember the legacy that they're representing in those uniforms coming back from two - sloppy - victories returning to the Coliseum (Fire Hugs).

    Optimistic:

    USC 45
    Buffs 21

    (If they actually stop the Buffs run game, contain the Buffs QB, play better defense and on Offense, run the ball, throw the rock, and finish drives)

    Pessimistic:

    USC 31
    Buffs 38

    (Another 2 - 3 field goal game, not finishing drives, not stopping the run, or containing the QB)
     
    Last edited: Nov 23, 2020
  15. USC1

    USC1 Junior Member


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    #15
    USC 41
    Buffs 17
     
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  16. BigDaddy

    BigDaddy Points Member


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    #16
    USC 34
    Buffs 31
     
  17. SCnAZ

    SCnAZ Junior Member


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    #17
    We started putting it all together last week against the utes, I think we start to roll against the buffs
    SC 45
    Buffs 27. No SC. 52. Buffs 24
     
  18. CrownoftheValley

    CrownoftheValley Junior Member


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    #18
    USC 37
    Boulder 20
     
  19. TrojanHorse

    TrojanHorse Junior Member


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    #19
    Karl Dorrell appears to have the Buffs moving forward. I'm going to roll with what we saw last week in terms of improved defense and the fact that we will finally have game film on an opponent.

    USC 33 - CU 28
     
  20. TrojanHorse

    TrojanHorse Junior Member


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    #20
    Vegas has us as a nearly two TD favorite. I think that has a lot to do with more money typically bet on USC and on brand in general.

    I would love it if we win by a couple of TDs, but I don't see it that way.
     

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