Musings from Arledge: COVID-19

Discussion in 'GarryP's Trojan Huddle' started by ErikMcKinney, Mar 19, 2020.

  1. SGVFlip

    SGVFlip Points Member


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    Mar 24, 2020
    #41
    Things have been so crazy, hadnt had time to read too many threads..

    THIS HAS BEEN THE BEST DAMN THREAD ON THIS BOARD IN A LONG TIME.

    Thanks to all that posted here, AND BE SAFE EVERYONE....
     
  2. Ojaitrojan

    Ojaitrojan Points Member


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    Mar 25, 2020
    #43
    Hmmmm.... it's always nice to see posts like this. Reminds me that there's a significant percentage of the population that will never be in competition with me for a job.
     
    Last edited: Mar 25, 2020
  3. Arhedge

    Arhedge Junior Member


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    Mar 25, 2020
    #44
    Don't be too hard on him. He raises some strong points.
     
  4. KeenObserver

    KeenObserver Junior Member


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    Mar 25, 2020
    #45
    Don’t do it, C. I stuck my head in a public toilet on a bet and now I’m positive...and I have swimmer’s ear.
     
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  5. SoCalN8tiv

    SoCalN8tiv Junior Member


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    Mar 26, 2020
    #46
    Corona virus prediction models forcasting doom and gloom were off by a preposterous amount. UK's estimated 500,000 predicted deaths now reduced to 20,000. Same model was used for 2.2 million deaths prediction for U.S. The brainiacs blew it there. Next time go with what's actually happening in the field. No worries that those predictions cost America its best economy ever. I'm starting to get suspicious.
     
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  6. dp4life

    dp4life Points Member


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    Mar 26, 2020
    #47
    It's the same "model" mentality used by the climate activists. You've probably heard that some of them predict Charleston, SC will be underwater in the next five years. Same with these Covid-19 models. Problem is - these models don't take into account human measures to combat the "problem." Who knew levies and dykes could be designed by smart engineers to prevent rising waters? Who knew smart scientists and healthcare providers would use their brains to combat a health epidemic? Luckily, the world has lots of really smart people to intervene in these situations. But, the models (mainly pushed by the MS media) don't want you to consider this reality.
     
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  7. HermosaSC

    HermosaSC Member


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    Mar 27, 2020
    #48
    What Neil Ferguson actually said...
    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1243294815200124928.html

    1/4 - I think it would be helpful if I cleared up some confusion that has emerged in recent days. Some have interpreted my evidence to a UK parliamentary committee as indicating we have substantially revised our assessments of the potential mortality impact of COVID-19.​

    2/4 -This is not the case. Indeed, if anything, our latest estimates suggest that the virus is slightly more transmissible than we previously thought. Our lethality estimates remain unchanged.​

    3/4 - My evidence to Parliament referred to the deaths we assess might occur in the UK in the presence of the very intensive social distancing and other public health interventions now in place.​

    4/4 - Without those controls, our assessment remains that the UK would see the scale of deaths reported in our study (namely, up to approximately 500 thousand).​

    We shouldn't treat COVID-19 (aka SARS-2) as a political football and should be wary of those who do. It's a serious virus and should be treated as such.
     
  8. Ojaitrojan

    Ojaitrojan Points Member


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    Mar 27, 2020
    #49
    Here's a fun game, in the absence of actual games. On Monday morning go to CNN's front page and see if there is a headline in bold stating something along the lines of, "This week will be a tipping point, states expert doctor". There has been that headline for the last two weeks, yet it hasn't tipped. Interested to see if, in fact, this is the week that we tip on the point.
     
  9. CFB Fan

    CFB Fan Junior Member


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    Mar 29, 2020
    #50
    They visit parents and grandparents for money.
     
  10. CFB Fan

    CFB Fan Junior Member


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    Mar 29, 2020
    #51
    As the saying goes: All models are wrong, some are useful tools.

    Global Warming is model based science. Virtually all of the models have been way off and always to the hot side. Reason being, the climate is a very complex system and it’s very hard to model all the interactions. They’ve tried to simplify it by blaming it on man burning fossil fuels, yet that orange ball in the sky has far more influence on climate than fossil fuels ever will.
     
  11. CFB Fan

    CFB Fan Junior Member


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    Mar 29, 2020
    #53
    F763998E-7257-4714-86A4-9289849205D0.jpeg
     

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