I think Coach Weis really believed that he was a great football
tactician, smarter than Pete Carroll by a huge margin, and most
profoundly, that what worked for him at the Patriots would dominate
College football as well.
Untitled Document
Quarterback controversy
Without repeating long discussions
that have already been made by several others, let me make this short by providing
my conclusions in outline form:
- Both John David Booty and Mark
Sanchez are excellent quarterbacks.
- Both are good enough to beat Oregon
this Saturday when they play up to or even close to their potential.
- JDB has seen a lot more than Mark
in terms of defensive tricks in pressure games, so he has an edge in that
regard.
- Maybe the offensive line will
be back to the high standards of the Nebraska game and maybe it won't. If
it is not, Mark's ability to avoid the sack gives him an advantage in that
part of the competition.
- Coach Bellotti at Oregon is a
resourceful, scheming SOB and will throw every trick he can think of at our
team and our QB this Saturday. So, the QB must be ready mentally and physically
to play his best game.
- So far, it looks like Mark has
that "special it" that makes his teammates play better when he is
in the game.
- Even if totally recovered, I fear
that the broken finger will leave JDB with a little rust in his execution,
so I would start Mark Sanchez at QB and keep JDB in reserve.
Coach Weis
I've decided to comment because there
is so much interest on our message boards about the Notre Dame coach, his continuing
offending remarks and his future. At the luncheon discussion around the table
at MMQB this week, it was pointed out that the continued success of the New
England Patriot's Offense shows that Charlie Weis was not the only, or even
the primary reason for that success while he was there.
In a long professional career, I've
had a chance to know many people who have gained success and power. Some of
them succeeded just because they were in the right place at the right time.
It was not unusual for those people to believe that their success was the result
of what they personally did and not their good luck. My opinion is that Charlie
Weis is in that category.
I think Coach Weis really believed
that he was a great football tactician, smarter than Pete Carroll by a huge
margin, and most profoundly, that what worked for him at the Patriots would
dominate College football as well. My guess is that he is beginning to realize
that this is a different environment and his NFL system and attitude toward
players is not working - but self-denial is a powerful force and I can't be
sure.
I love beating Notre Dame 38 - 0.
I love beating Notre Dame 6 games in a row. But, I don't want them to be the
laughing stock of college football. Our programs are intertwined and if the
rivalry becomes irrelevant then that will diminish us as well. I actually like
the tension in my gut when on Notre Dame game day; I know we could easily lose.
The elation of winning under those circumstances has been very satisfying for
me and I can remember so many games where I've left the stadium as emotionally
worn out as if I had played myself.
My judgment is that the lack of contact
with reality by Coach Weis cannot ever be adequately corrected. Therefore, I
hope ND makes a change. Some apparently want ND to lose every game but not me.
I look forward to again beating the Irish when we are the only loss on their
schedule.
Oregon game
On paper, this game looks like an
even match. If any important game element tilts greatly in favor of one team,
it will probably be the difference.
Our defense is statistically tough,
but in reality, it is still untested against a high-powered offense. Oregon
has a high-powered offense with an average of over 46 points scored per game.
They are a good bet to score more than the 16.6 points average that we have
given up so far.
The Cal defense held the Ducks to
31 points, the best showing against them this season. I think we can do better
than Cal, but we still have to prove it. Our offense has averaged over 34 points
per game for the season, but we had a slow period that the ND game broke. Oregon
gave up 34 points to Washington last week but that was on the road and this
game is in their house. From all this conflicting data I think that you can
draw any conclusion you want.
When all is considered, it is the
same old story, "you have to play the game". I think we are going
to win and win big. Just a gut feeling on my part.
Below are some comparative statistics that relate to both teams:
|
Scoring
offense
|
|
Oregon
46.57 average points per game
|
|
USC: 34.57
average points per game.
|
|
Scoring
Defense
|
|
USC:
16.6 points allowed per game
|
|
Oregon:
22.6 points allowed per game
|
|
Turnover
Margin
|
|
Oregon
plus 0.71 per game
|
|
USC minus
0.57 per game
|
|
Yards
penalized per game
|
|
Oregon:
52.57 yds per game.
|
|
USC:
73.71 yds per game.
|
|
Third
down conversions
|
|
Oregon:
35.8 % of attempts
|
|
USC: 31.9
% of attempts
|
|
|